Iran Presidential and Local Elections: June 18, 2021


Election posters in Iran. Photo credit: Flickr/Beshef (CC BY 2.0)

KEY FACTS
Freedom House Rating

Not Free
Government Type
Theocratic Republic
Population
83 million
UPCOMING ELECTIONS
Presidential and Local Elections
June 24, 2020
Legislative Elections
February 2024 (due)
PAST ELECTIONS
Legislative Elections
February 21, 2020 (Second round: September 11, 2020)
Presidential and Local Election
May 19, 2017

Iran has scheduled its next presidential election for June 18, 2021, with concurrent local elections.

Political Context

Since 1979, when revolutionaries removed the Shah and installed the ayatollahs, Iran has been a theocracy that suppresses dissent and manipulates elections. The country’s elected institutions – parliament and the presidency – have less power than the unelected Supreme Leader and other unelected institutions. In that vein, all potential candidates for elected office must obtain approval from the Guardian Council of clerics, which habitually rejects a large number of applicants.

Nonetheless, Iran holds regular elections. The most recent, the 2020 legislative elections, took place in the context of increased tension with the United States, plus anti-government protests, followed by a brutal crackdown, plus the outbreak of COVID-19. Consequently, the regime rigged these elections even more than usual, with more than half of the people who applied to be candidates rejected (including 90 incumbents). Thus turnout, at 42 percent, was the lowest in the history of the Islamic Republic. The hardliners won the most seats, in a potential reversal of the 2016 elections, in which supposed reformers prevailed. 

Pro-Democracy Activists

Despite the regime’s heavy hand, activists continue to advocate for democracy in Iran. In 2009, the pro-democracy Green Movement protested the obviously-rigged re-election of hardline president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Millions of Iranians took to the streets in defiance of the security services, but by 2011, the regime had crushed the movement and put its leaders under house arrest, where they remain to this day.

Nonetheless, since 2017, Iran has been seeing increased protest against the regime. In addition to large demonstrations, groups use a variety of protest methods. For example, My Stealthy Freedom protests the mandatory hijab rule with its #WhiteWednesdays, in which women post photographs of themselves without headscarves. Its participants continue to defy the regime even under the threat of lengthy prison sentences.

Some posit that public trust in the regime is collapsing due to corruption and poor economic performance.

Iran’s 2021 Presidential Election

Iran’s current president, Hassan Rouhani, characterized as a reformer, first won election in 2013, and won re-election in 2017. Due to term limits, he cannot run again in 2020. The field of potential candidates to replace him is still crowded.

Geopolitical Context

Tensions between Iran and the United States have been escalating since May 2018.

Curated News and Analysis

Syed Zafar Mehdi, Andalou Agency (November 25, 2020): Iran’s top military figure announces presidential bid

Raz Zimmt, Atlantic Council (October 15, 2020): Will Iran let a woman run for president in 2021?

Sina Azodi, Atlantic Council (October 7, 2020): Hossein Dehghan and other military vets vie for Iran’s presidency

Behrouz Turani, Radio Farda (August 27, 2020): Who Are The Potential Reformist Candidates For Iran’s 2021 Presidential Election?

AP (August 24, 2020): Iran sets June 2021 date for presidential election to choose Rouhani successor

Holly Dagres, Atlantic Council (August 18, 2020): Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, former president turned ‘popstar,’ plans to run again

Bourse and Bazaar (July 2, 2020): Young Candidates Enter Fray for Iran Presidency

Dexter Filkins, The New Yorker (May 18, 2020): The Twilight of the Iranian Revolution

Behrouz Turani, Radio Farda (February 23, 2020): Iran’s Parliamentary Elections: Winners And Losers

Luke McGee, CNN (February 23, 2020): Iran’s elections are set to be dominated by hardliners. Here’s what that means

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content, and their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.

Updated November 25, 2020

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