Europe This Week: January 11, 2023

January 11, 2023

A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in Europe, usually posted on Wednesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.

Sankt Pölten, capital of Lower Austria. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Peter Knorr (public domain)

Upcoming Europe Elections

Czech Republic Presidential Election: January 13 and 14, 2023

Filip Noubel, Global Voices (January 11, 2023): Czech presidential elections 2023: The rector, the oligarch and the general

Martin Ehl, Visegrad Insight (January 10, 2023): Who Will Win the Czech Presidential Elections?

AP (January 9, 2023): Former Czech prime minister acquitted of fraud days before presidential election

Austria, State Elections in Lower Austria: January 29, 2023 (general elections due by the end of 2024)

AFP (January 10, 2023): Austria far-right ex-vice chancellor acquitted of graft

Sam Jones, Financial Times (January 10, 2023): Energy crisis and inflation help push Austrians towards far right: Resurgent Freedom party leads polls as anger among voters grows and key regional election looms

Cyprus Presidential Election: February 5, 2023

Reuters (January 9, 2023): German foreign minister: two-state solution for Cyprus not an option

Reuters (January 5, 2023): Fourteen candidates join race for Cyprus presidency in Feb. vote

Germany, Berlin State Elections: February 12, 2023, followed by other state elections later this year

Jeremy Cliffe, The New Statesman (January 11, 2023): The “Lady Voldemort” of German politics is poised to unite the extreme left and right: If she starts her own anti-establishment party, Sahra Wagenknecht could alter Germany’s political landscape.

Estonia Parliamentary Elections: March 5, 2023

Ott Tammik, Bloomberg (January 11, 2023): Estonia’s Premier Sees ‘Isolated, Bitter’ Future With Far Right

Bloomberg (January 10, 2023): Estonia Announces Plan To Seize Russian Assets And Deliver Them To Ukraine

ERR News (January 9, 2023): Estonia’s major parties to unveil candidate lists and programs this weekend

Arp Müller, ERR News (January 6, 2023): Estonian defense chief: Russia will attack if it knows we cannot fight back

Finland General Elections: April 2, 2023

Pekka Vanttinen, Euractiv (January 6, 2023): Right-wing rise in polls three months before Finnish elections

Albania Local Elections: May 14, 2023

Blerina Gjoka, Balkan Insight (January 10, 2023): Divided Albanian Democrats Row over Appointment of Election Officials: Concerns are growing over the credibility of Albania’s May local elections due to an ongoing court battle over control of the opposition Democrats.

Greece Parliamentary Elections: By July 2023

Renee Maltezou, Reuters (January 11, 2023): Greek PM dashes hopes of swift return of Parthenon marbles

Paschos Mandravelis, Kathimerini (January 11, 2023): The Parthenon Marbles and democracy

Thanos Davelis  and Nick Malkoutzis , Kathimerini (January 7, 2023 – podcast): Greece in campaign mode as elections draw near

Slovakia Snap Elections: Mid-2023 (proposed)

Reuters (January 10, 2023): Slovak caretaker PM seeks new majority to finish term

Michal Hudec, Euractiv (January 9, 2023): Slovak prime minister gives until January end to find a new majority

Poland Parliamentary and Local Elections: By November 11, 2023

Piotr Skolimowski, Bloomberg (January 10, 2023): Poland’s Election Provides a Path Out of EU Isolation: Nationalist Law and Justice’s seven-year hold on power may slip as the costs of battling Brussels escalate.

AP (January 10, 2023): Polish PM says adopting the euro would bring spike in prices

Jacek Lepiarz, DW (January 7, 2023): Poland pressures Germany on war reparations

United Kingdom, Local Elections in Some Parts of England: May 4, 2023, followed by general elections due in 2024

Stefan Boscia, Politico (January 5, 2023): Keir Starmer vows post-Brexit ‘take back control bill’ if Labour wins UK election: The Labour leader says his party must “embrace” the Brexit campaign’s message.

Peter Walker, The Guardian (January 4, 2023): Reform UK to field candidate against every Tory at next election, says leader: Richard Tice rules out 2019-style deal with Conservatives even if they back some of his party’s policies

Past Europe Elections

Denmark Snap Parliamentary Elections: November 1, 2022

Richard Nadeau and Michael S. Lewis-Beck, London School of Economics (January 11, 2023): Modelling vs polling: Lessons from predicting the 2022 Danish election

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Elections: October 2, 2022

Azem Kurtic, Balkan Insight (January 6, 2023): Bosnia’s Governing Coalition Cracks Only 20 Days After Formation

Bulgaria Parliamentary Elections: October 2, 2022

Krassen Nikolov, Euractiv (January 9, 2023): Bulgarian parties given last chance to form government

Sofia Globe (January 9, 2023): Poll: Close to half of Bulgarians believe country headed to yet another election

Bne IntelliNews (January 8, 2023): Latest attempt to form government fails in Bulgaria

Balkan Insight (January 4, 2023): Few Bulgarians Expect pro-EU Govt to Return to Power

Sweden Parliamentary Elections: September 11, 2022

Tom Wheelon, France24 (January 10, 2023): Sweden, Turkey not expected to back down in NATO accession tug of war

Richard Milne and Henry Foy, Financial Times (January 8, 2023): Sweden warns it cannot meet Turkey’s demands for backing Nato bid: Stockholm has fulfilled commitments made to Ankara at Madrid summit, says premier Ulf Kristersson

Europe Elections Coming Up in 2023

Several European countries hold elections that determine who runs the government: Cyprus (fun fact: Cyprus is the EU’s only full presidential system), Monaco, Estonia, Andorra, Finland, Greece, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Poland, and Spain.

In addition, Montenegro and Slovakia appear on track to hold snap elections. And Bulgaria could hold its fourth general election in three years.

Moreover, a number of other countries in Europe could hold snap elections at short notice – it happens.

Czech Republic Presidential Election: January 13 and 14, 2023

Slovakia Referendum on Early Elections: January 21, 2023

Austria, Lower Austria State Elections: January 29, 2023

Cyprus Presidential Election: February 5, 2023

Monaco Parliamentary Elections: February 5, 2023

Cyprus Presidential Runoff: February 12, 2023

Germany, Berlin State Elections: February 12, 2023

Italy, Lazio and Lombardy Regional Elections: February 12, 2023

Estonia General Elections: March 5, 2023

albniaLithuania Local Elections: March 5, 2023

Liechtenstein Local Elections: March 5, 2023

Austria, Carinthia State Elections: March 5, 2023

Montenegro Presidential Election: March 19, 2023 (snap parliamentary elections possible)

Netherlands Provincial Council and Water Authority Elections: March 2023 (due)

Andorra Parliamentary Elections: March 2023 (due)

Finland General Elections: April 2, 2023

Austria, Salzburg State Elections: April 23, 2023

Kosovo Partial Local Elections: April 23, 2023

United Kingdom, Local Elections in Some Parts of England: May 4, 2023

Albania Local Elections: May 14, 2023

Germany, Bremen State Elections and Local Elections in Schleswig-Holstein: May 14, 2023

United Kingdom, Local Elections in Northern Ireland: May 18, 2023

Spain Local Elections and Various Regional Elections: May 28, 2023

Latvia Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): May 2023 (due)

Greece Local Elections: May 2023 (due)

Spain, Regional Elections in Various Regions: June 25, 2023

Luxembourg Local Elections: June 2023 (due)

Greece Parliamentary Elections: July 2023 (due)

Norway Local Elections: September 11, 2023

Switzerland Federal Parliamentary Elections: October 22, 2023

Luxembourg General Elections: October 2023 (due)

Bulgaria Local Elections: October 2023 (due)

Germany, Hesse and Bavaria State Elections: October 2023 (due)

Finland, Åland Elections: October 2023 (due)

Portugal, Regional Elections in Madeira: October 2023 (due)

Poland Parliamentary and Local Elections (due – earlier elections possible): November 11, 2023

Spain General Elections: December 10, 2023 (due – early elections possible)

Switzerland Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): December 12, 2023

Andorra Local Elections: December 2023 (due)

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