Europe

November 13, 2024

A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in Europe, usually posted on Wednesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.

The Deutsches Eck promontory in Koblenz, Germany, at the confluence of the Mosel and Rhine. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Holger Weinandt (CC BY-SA 3.0 de) 

Upcoming Europe Elections

Romania Presidential Election: November 24, 2024 and Legislative Elections: December 1, 2024

Romania holds presidential and legislative elections later this year. 

Una Hajdari at Politico notes: “The electoral outcome may keep Romania on its mostly pro-European, centrist path — or tip it toward more nativist policies that would sound alarm bells in Brussels because of the country’s strategic proximity to Ukraine and its role as a key southeast European economy.”

Corrine Deloy, Foundation Robert Schuman (November 12, 2024): The ruling Social Democrats are favourites in Romania’s parliamentary and presidential elections

Iulian Ernst, Romania Today (November 12, 2024): Romanian PM denies rumours about Russia’s attempts to influence internal elections

Ireland Snap Parliamentary Elections: November 29, 2024

Megan Specia, New York Times (November 8, 2024): What to Know About Ireland’s Snap General Election

BBC (November 8, 2024): Irish general election to be held on 29 November

Germany Snap Federal Parliamentary Elections: February 23, 2024

Germany called snap elections following the collapse of the government. These elections come on the heels of three state elections in the east that delivered blows to Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s left-leaning coalition government. The far-right AfD won in Thuringia and came in a close second in Saxony. While Scholz’s SPD pulled off a surprise win in Brandenburg, AfD made large gains there as well. In addition, a new pro-Putin, anti-establishment left-wing populist party, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), won large percentages of the vote. 

Notably, Die Linke (The Left), which formed from remnants of the Communist Party in the east, saw a major collapse in the recent state elections. 

AP (November 13, 2024): Five things to know about Germany’s government crisis

Sebastian Shukla, Claudia Otto and Inke Kappeler, CNN (November 12, 2024): Germany set for snap election in February

James Angelos and Nette Nöstlinger, Politico (November 12, 2024): Germany’s snap election: What happens now?

Past Europe Elections

Bulgaria Snap Elections: October 27, 2024

Bulgaria held snap elections on October 27, the seventh elections in three years. The center-right GERB, led by former prime minister Boyko Borisov, came in first but fell short of a majority. GERB has won five of the seven recent elections but has not been able to form a durable government since 2021 (Borisov was previously prime minister three times, for a total of nine years, between 2009 and 2021). 

GERB is pro-European while the other major party, the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP), has worked with overly pro-Russia parties in past coalitions. 

Krassen Nikolov, Euractiv (November 12, 2024): Borissov says he wants to be PM and pitches good ties with Trump

Norbert Beckmann-Dierkes and Borislaw Wankow, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (November 10, 2024 – in German): GERB wins early parliamentary elections in Bulgaria once again

Lithuania Parliamentary Elections: October 13 and 27, 2024

Lithuania’s Social Democrats won the recent parliamentary elections, defeating the center-right government of Ingrida Šimonytė. Lithuania’s pro-west foreign policy is unlikely to change. 

Jurgis Valiukevičius, Jacobin (November 12, 2024): Lithuania’s Social Democrats Set Unsteady Course for Change

Andrius Sytas, Reuters (November 8, 2024): Lithuania election winner includes populist party in coalition talks

Andrew Higgins, New York Times (November 8, 2024): Party Whose Leader Is Known for Antisemitism to Join Lithuanian Government

Greece Parliamentary Elections: June 25, 2023

Nektaria Stamouli, Politico (November 9, 2024): Greece’s main opposition further dismantled

Elections On Deck

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