Americas This Week: November 2, 2024

November 2, 2024

A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in the Americas, usually posted on Saturdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.

The São Paulo Museum of Art in Brazil. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Naldu Arruda (CC BY 2.0)

Upcoming Americas Elections

Uruguay Presidential Runoff: November 24, 2024

The Economist (October 31, 2024): Why Uruguayans rejected a government splurge

AP (October 27, 2024): Uruguay votes in election with two moderate candidates, living up to its reputation for political stability

Bolivia Presidential and Legislative Elections: August 17, 2025

France24 (November 2, 2024): Supporters of Bolivia’s ex-president Evo Morales hold soldiers hostage amid protests

Reuters (October 27, 2024): Bolivia’s Morales says vehicle fired upon as political tensions rise

Canada General Elections: Due by October 20, 2025 but could be called earlier

Mickey Djuric, Politico (October 31, 2024): Jagmeet Singh could decide when Canadians go to the polls. He’s in no rush.

Past Americas Elections

Brazil Local Election Runoffs: October 27, 2024

Brazil held the first round of its local elections on October 6, and while Eduardo Paes, a center-right on-and-off critic of President Lula da Silva, was re-elected mayor of Rio de Janeiro, most of the other major cities will hold runoff elections on October 27. These elections are an important test of the parties ahead of national elections in 2026.

Reuters notes: “Candidates associated with former hard-right President Jair Bolsonaro fared better than those backed by leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party won in two state capitals and went to runoff elections in nine cities. But it was parties of the Brazilian ‘Centrao’ – a cluster of center and center-right parties associated with dealmaking politicians such as House Speaker Arthur Lira – that won the most mayoral seats.” 

Americas Quarterly (October 31, 2024): Lula and Brazil’s “Big Center” 

Giulia Branco Spiess, Wilson Center (October 30, 2024): Economic Optimism Meets Political Complexity: Insights from Brazil’s 2024 Municipal Elections

Daniel Carvalho and Giovanna Serafim, Bloomberg (October 28, 2024): Lula’s Pick Loses in Sao Paulo as Centrist Mayors Win Big

Mauricio Savarese, AP (October 28, 2024): Voters in Brazil’s largest city reelect mayor, who detaches from Bolsonaro after tumultuous campaign

Reuters (October 27, 2024): Brazil runoff vote in city elections expected to confirm right-wing clout 

Chile Local Elections: October 27, 2024

Gladys Gerbaud, AS/COA (October 29, 2024): What To Know About the Results of Chile’s 2024 Municipal and Regional Elections

Ciara Nugent, Financial Times (October 28, 2024): Chile’s leftwing government hit by rape scandal

Ingio Alexander, Al Jazeera (October 27, 2024): Colombia’s president faces trouble – but blames opposition for ‘coup’

Venezuela Presidential Election: July 28, 2024

Tirana Hassan, Los Angeles Times (October 31, 2024): Opinion: What Venezuela’s turn away from democracy means for U.S. migration

Elections On Deck

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