Americas This Week: October 12, 2024

October 12, 2024

A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in the Americas, usually posted on Saturdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.

Palácio Pedro Ernesto, seat of the local government in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Photo credit: Wikimedia/jconde (CC BY 2.0)

Upcoming Americas Elections

Uruguay Presidential and Legislative Elections: October 27, 2024

Khalea Robertson, AS/COA (October 8, 2024): Poll Tracker: Uruguay’s 2024 Elections

Khalea Robertson, AS/COA (October 7, 2024): Explainer: Uruguay’s 2024 General Elections

Brazil Local Election Runoffs: October 27, 2024

Brazil held the first round of its local elections on October 6, and while Eduardo Paes, a center-right on-and-off critic of President Lula da Silva, was re-elected mayor of Rio de Janeiro, most of the other major cities will hold runoff elections on October 27. These elections are an important test of the parties ahead of national elections in 2026.

Reuters notes: “Candidates associated with former hard-right President Jair Bolsonaro fared better than those backed by leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party won in two state capitals and went to runoff elections in nine cities. But it was parties of the Brazilian ‘Centrao’ – a cluster of center and center-right parties associated with dealmaking politicians such as House Speaker Arthur Lira – that won the most mayoral seats.” 

Joseph Bouchard, RealClearWorld (October 9, 2024): Divided Conservative Movement Wins Big in Brazil’s Municipal Elections

Anthony Boadle, Reuters (October 7, 2024): Brazil mayoral elections bolster center-right ahead of 2026 presidential race

Eleonore Hughes, AP (October 6, 2024): Sao Paulo mayor’s race heads to a runoff without a controversial outsider in Brazil’s elections

Isabela Cruz, The Brazilian Report (October 6, 2024): Eduardo Paes re-elected mayor of Rio de Janeiro by landslide

Ecuador Presidential and Legislative Elections: February 9, 2025

Carolina Mella, El País (October 10, 2024): Ecuador ex-president Rafael Correa and deputy banned from entering US over corruption cases

Bolivia Presidential and Legislative Elections: August 17, 2025

Peter Millard and Sergio Mendoza, Bloomberg (October 12, 2024): How a series of blunders ruined a Latin American socialist success story

Fernando Molina, El País (October 11, 2024): Bolivian prosecutors issue arrest warrant against Evo Morales, accused of raping a teen

Canada General Elections: Due by October 20, 2025 but could be called earlier

George Haynal, The Globalist (October 9, 2024): Canada: What Explains Justin Trudeau’s Long Goodbye?

Rebecca Lau, Andrew Benson, and Amy Judd, Global News (October 8, 2024): 3 elections, 3 provinces, 10 days: What’s at stake in these Canadian races

Guyana Parliamentary Elections: By December 2025

Bert Wilkinson, AP (October 11, 2024): Awash in oil money, Guyana promises cash, free tuition and other perks ahead of election

Past Americas Elections

Venezuela Presidential Election: July 28, 2024

Felipe Krause and Gabriel Brasil, Foreign Policy (October 8, 2024): Lula Is Finally Turning on Venezuela

Mexico General Elections: June 2, 2024

Diego Oré, Reuters (October 10, 2024): Mexican Senate passes regulation on popular election of judges

Abel Alvarado, CNN, (October 7, 2024): Mexican mayor killed less than a week after taking office

Colombia Presidential Elections: May-June 2022 (next presidential election due in 2026)

Adriaan Alsema, Colombia Reports (October 9, 2024): Petro calls on Colombia’s left to mobilize over election probe

AP (October 8, 2024): Colombian electoral authorities open investigation against President Petro’s 2022 campaign

Elections On Deck

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