Americas This Week – June 1, 2019

June 1, 2019

Each day, 21votes gathers election and political news from a different region of the world. We explore the Americas on Saturdays. Click the map pins.

Mexico Local and Gubernatorial - June 2, 2019

Municipal offices in Aguacalientes, Durango and Baja California states. Gubernatorial election in Baja California and local deputees elections in Baja California,Quintana Roo and Tamaulipas. special gubernatorial election in Puebla.

Reuters: “Mexico’s president is expected to score comfortable election wins on Sunday in the first test of his popularity since taking office, despite a weak economy, rampant violence and troubled relations with his U.S. counterpart Donald Trump.”

Argentina Chubut Province - June 9, 2019

Provincial elections are taking place throughout the year. On June 9, several provinces, including Chubut, the second-most important petro-province (it produces nearly 1/3 of Argentina’s oil), hold elections.

Mark P. Jones, Forbes: “Chubut will elect its governor and the members of its provincial legislature for four-year terms on June 9.  The pragmatic centrist Peronist governor (Mariano Arcioni) is heavily favored to win re-election, but there still exists an outside chance that a more left-wing Peronist candidate (Carlos Linares), who is closely aligned with the left-wing world-view of former president (and current candidate) Cristina Fernández, could win.”

Guatemala Presidential and Legislative - June 16, 2019

Carin Zissis, Americas Society/Council of the Americas: “Who’s In and Who’s Out in Guatemala’s Presidential Race”

Reporters Without Borders: “Presidential Elections in Guatemala: What is the Future of Freedom of Expression?”

Argentina Presidential and Legislative - October 27, 2019

Reuters: “Argentina’s political pairing of moderate Peronist Alberto Fernandez and firebrand ex-president Cristina Fernandez are closing in on sealing an important ally to help beat incumbent President Mauricio Macri in elections later this year, three sources told Reuters on Friday.”

Marc Margolis, Buenos Aires Times: “Former president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner has always kept one foot on the balcony and the other on Mercury. In her volatile two terms in office, she picked fights with agribusiness, the International Monetary Fund, the Clarín media empire, even screen idol Ricardo Darín, leaving Argentines the worse for her convulsions. Now, just in time for national elections, the willful Peronist is back again sowing disruption.”

El Salvador Presidential - February 3, 2019

Populist Nayib Bukele won a historic election in February to become the first president in the history of El Salvador’s democracy to come from outside of the country’s two main parties.

Reuters: “El Salvador’s maverick new president takes office Saturday pledging to battle violence, poverty, corruption and mass migration to the United States — but will have to do all that without a congressional majority.”

Upcoming Elections
Mexico Local and Gubernatorial – June 2, 2019
Municipal offices in Aguacalientes, Durango and Baja California states. Gubernatorial election in Baja California and local deputees elections in Baja California,Quintana Roo and Tamaulipas. special gubernatorial election in Puebla.

Reuters: “Mexico’s president is expected to score comfortable election wins on Sunday in the first test of his popularity since taking office, despite a weak economy, rampant violence and troubled relations with his U.S. counterpart Donald Trump.”

Argentina, Chubut Province Elections – June 9, 2019
Argentine provincial elections are taking place throughout the year. On June 9, Chubut, the second-most important petro-province (it produces nearly 1/3 of Argentina’s oil), holds elections.

Mark P. Jones, Forbes: “Chubut will elect its governor and the members of its provincial legislature for four-year terms on June 9.  The pragmatic centrist Peronist governor (Mariano Arcioni) is heavily favored to win re-election, but there still exists an outside chance that a more left-wing Peronist candidate (Carlos Linares), who is closely aligned with the left-wing world-view of former president (and current candidate) Cristina Fernández, could win.”

Guatemala Presidential and Legislative – June 16, 2019
Carin Zissis, Americas Society/Council of the Americas: “Who’s In and Who’s Out in Guatemala’s Presidential Race”

Reporters Without Borders: “Presidential Elections in Guatemala: What is the Future of Freedom of Expression?”

Argentina Presidential and Legislative – October 27, 2019
Reuters: “Argentina’s political pairing of moderate Peronist Alberto Fernandez and firebrand ex-president Cristina Fernandez are closing in on sealing an important ally to help beat incumbent President Mauricio Macri in elections later this year, three sources told Reuters on Friday.”

Bloomberg: “Argentine opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez said he won’t lead the country into default if he wins the presidential election in October, seeking to reassure investors who fear a new government might renege on its borrowings.”

Buenos Aires Times: “General strike against Macri brings country to standstill. Seventy unions adhered to [the May 28] strike, with dozens more political and social groups adding their voices to the protest.”

Marc Margolis, Buenos Aires Times: “Former president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner has always kept one foot on the balcony and the other on Mercury. In her volatile two terms in office, she picked fights with agribusiness, the International Monetary Fund, the Clarín media empire, even screen idol Ricardo Darín, leaving Argentines the worse for her convulsions. Now, just in time for national elections, the willful Peronist is back again sowing disruption.”

Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald: “Electing Fernandez de Kirchner’s ticket would be the ultimate act of political immaturity It would condemn Argentina to a new period of fictitious wellbeing, followed by even greater economic decline and poverty.”

Financial Times: “Argentines should reject the return of Peronism. President Mauricio Macri should stick to his guns on economic policy”

Andrew Thompson, World Politics Review: “Will Cristina Fernandez’s Surprise Political Ploy Work in Argentina?”

Past Elections
El Salvador Presidential – February 3, 2019
Populist Nayib Bukele won a historic election in February to become the first president in the history of El Salvador’s democracy to come from outside of the country’s two main parties.

Reuters: “El Salvador’s maverick new president takes office Saturday pledging to battle violence, poverty, corruption and mass migration to the United States — but will have to do all that without a congressional majority.”

 

The Year Ahead: Americas
Mexico gubernatorial and local in Baja California and Puebla, local in Baja California, Durango, Aguascalientes, Tamaulipas and Quintana Roo (June 2); Argentina Corrientes, Misiones, and San Juan provincial (June 2); Argentina Chubut, Entre Rios, Jujuy, Tucuman provincial (June 9); Argentina San Luis, Santa Fe and Tierra del Fuego provincial (June 16); Guatemala general (June 16); Argentina Mendoza provincial (September 29); Bolivia presidential and legislative (October); Haiti parliamentary (October); Canada, Prince Edward Island province general and Northwest Territories parliamentary (on or before October 7 – exact date not set yet); Canada, Labrador and Newfoundland provincial (October 8); Bolivia presidential and legislative (October 20); Canada general (on or before October 21 – exact date not set yet); Argentina presidential and legislative (October 27); Uruguay presidential and legislative (October 27); Colombia local (October 27); Guyana snap parliamentary (November); Trinidad and Tobago local (November); Argentina Salta provincial (November 10); Dominica legislative (December); St. Kitts and Nevis legislative (February)

A Guatemalan voter in 2011. The country heads to the polls again later this month.
Photo credit: Flickr/Caroline Trutman and Kara Andrade

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