Americas This Week – February 9, 2019

Each day, 21votes gathers election and political news from a different region of the world. We explore the Americas on Saturdays. Click the map pins.

Guyana Snap Parliamentary - Due by March but delays highly likely

Guyana’s political turmoil continues. Last week, the election commission said that it would not be ready to hold snap elections until at least July, despite the fact that the High Court mandated that they be held by March following a December no-confidence motion that triggered the fall of the government. The opposition called the election commission’s view “unacceptable.”

Axios: “The discovery of a massive trove of oil off its shores, including two finds just this week, puts Guyana on the cusp of becoming one of the world’s wealthiest nations, in the league of petro-states like Qatar.

Meanwhile, ExxonMobil has discovered even more oil this week.

Canada General - On or Before October 21, 2019

Marcus Kolga from the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, in the Globe and Mail: “For Western nations, the threat of foreign interference doesn’t just mean bad actors working to affect the outcome of an election, but also the systematic undermining of our democracy by sowing discord and breaking down trust in our institutions, media and society. And with a federal election looming, Canada needs to know that it is a target for the kind of attacks we’ve already seen in Europe and the United States in recent years.”

Argentina Presidential and Legislative - October 27

OZY: “After suffering the worst drought in half a century last year, favorable weather conditions since the end of 2018 in the fertile Pampas plains have led many to predict that 2019 will be a bumper year. That would be good news for President Mauricio Macri, who is seeking re-election in October polls.”

Venezuela - Ongoing Crisis, snap elections possible

CNN: “The hungry poor who will decide Venezuela’s future” In the last three years, three million Venezuelans – 10 percent of the population – have left the country due to food shortages, lack of basic supplies, and a brutal crackdown on dissent. A majority of Venezuelans go to bed hungry because they cannot afford food.

DW: “EU chief diplomat calls for Venezuela elections: EU foreign policy head Federica Mogherini said at a summit in Uruguay that Venezuela must let the people determine its future. While aid has arrived on the border to Venezuela, Maduro has vowed to block its delivery.”

The Economist on why Russia backs Maduro: “Venezuela serves as a lesson that, however demoralised an opposition movement seems one moment, it can consolidate the next.”

Matt Ferchen in the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage blog: “Why did China stand by Maduro in Venezuela?”

Anne Applebaum in the Washington Post: “Venezuela is how ‘illiberal democracy’ ends”

El Salvador Presidential - February 3, 2019

Charles T. Call at Brookings: “The significance of Nayib Bukele’s surprising election as president of El Salvador”

21votes’ take on El Salvador’s election.

Brazil - October 2019

The Economist: “The legislative success of Brazil’s new president depends on public opinion, not party discipline”

Upcoming Elections
Venezuela – Ongoing Crisis, snap elections possible
CNN: “The hungry poor who will decide Venezuela’s future” In the last three years, three million Venezuelans – 10 percent of the population – have left the country due to food shortages, lack of basic supplies, and a brutal crackdown on dissent. A majority of Venezuelans go to bed hungry because they cannot afford food.

The Maduro regime is blocking food aid.

DW: “EU chief diplomat calls for Venezuela elections: EU foreign policy head Federica Mogherini said at a summit in Uruguay that Venezuela must let the people determine its future. While aid has arrived on the border to Venezuela, Maduro has vowed to block its delivery.”

The Economist on why Russia backs Maduro: “Venezuela serves as a lesson that, however demoralised an opposition movement seems one moment, it can consolidate the next.”

Matt Ferchen in the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage blog: “Why did China stand by Maduro in Venezuela?”

Anne Applebaum in the Washington Post: “Venezuela is how ‘illiberal democracy’ ends”

Guyana Snap Parliamentary – Due by March but delays highly likely
Guyana’s political turmoil continues. Last week, the election commission said that it would not be ready to hold snap elections until at least July, despite the fact that the High Court mandated that they be held by March following a December no-confidence motion that triggered the fall of the government. The opposition called the election commission’s view “unacceptable.”

Axios: “The discovery of a massive trove of oil off its shores, including two finds just this week, puts Guyana on the cusp of becoming one of the world’s wealthiest nations, in the league of petro-states like Qatar.

Meanwhile, ExxonMobil has discovered even more oil this week.

Canada General – On or Before October 21, 2019
Marcus Kolga from the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, in the Globe and Mail: “For Western nations, the threat of foreign interference doesn’t just mean bad actors working to affect the outcome of an election, but also the systematic undermining of our democracy by sowing discord and breaking down trust in our institutions, media and society. And with a federal election looming, Canada needs to know that it is a target for the kind of attacks we’ve already seen in Europe and the United States in recent years.”

Argentina Presidential and Legislative – October 27
OZY: “After suffering the worst drought in half a century last year, favorable weather conditions since the end of 2018 in the fertile Pampas plains have led many to predict that 2019 will be a bumper year. That would be good news for President Mauricio Macri, who is seeking re-election in October polls.”

Past Elections
El Salvador Presidential – February 3, 2019
Charles T. Call at Brookings: “The significance of Nayib Bukele’s surprising election as president of El Salvador”

21votes’ take on El Salvador’s election.

Brazil – October 2019
The Economist: “The legislative success of Brazil’s new president depends on public opinion, not party discipline”

The Year Ahead: Americas
Panama presidential and legislative (May 5); Canada Alberta province general (on or before May 30 – exact date not set yet); Guatemala general (June 16); Guyana snap parliamentary (due by March but election commission says won’t happen until July – exact date not set yet); Bolivia presidential and legislative (October); Haiti parliamentary (October); Canada, Prince Edward Island province general and Northwest Territories parliamentary (on or before October 7 – exact date not set yet); Canada, Labrador and Newfoundland provincial (October 8); Canada general (on or before October 21 – exact date not set yet); Argentina presidential and legislative (October 27); Uruguay presidential and legislative (October 27); Dominica legislative (December); Trinidad and Tobago local (late 2019) and general (2020)

President-elect Nayib Bukele, then mayor of San Salvador, with President Salvador Sanchez Ceren in 2015. 

Photo credit: Flickr/Presidencia El Salvador

21votes does not necessarily endorse all of the views in all of the linked articles or publications.

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