Americas This Week: May 29, 2021

Americas election news for the week of May 29 2021

May 29, 2021

Your weekly roundup of news and analysis of elections in the Americas, usually posted on Saturdays and occasionally updated throughout the week. For a full electoral calendar and interactive map, click here.

A market in Oaxaca, Mexico. Mexico holds high-stakes midterms on June 6, with over 21,000 offices – plus AMLO’s plans to transform the country – on the ballot. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Reforma.imufomot (public domain)

Upcoming Americas Elections

Peru Presidential Runoff: June 6, 2021

Peru held general elections for April 11, 2021. These elections are coming on the heels of snap legislative elections that took place on January 26, 2020, and in the context of political turmoil – including the impeachment of President Martín Vizcarra and the subsequent “week of three presidents” – and an economic crisis brought on by COVID-19.

The presidential runoff will pit self-described Marxist Pedro Castillo against right-wing populist Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori, who is currently in prison for various crimes (Keiko is also currently facing criminal charges). Castillo came out of nowhere to win the first round. However, none of the 18 candidates received more votes than the number of blank ballots cast – a sign of voters’ deep frustration.  More

Gonzalo Torrico, Worldcrunch (May 31, 2021): China’s Future Gateway To Latin America Is A Mega-Port In Peru

Marco Aquino, Reuters (May 30, 2021): Peru election race tightens a week before polarized vote

Paul J. Angelo and Chloé Mauvais, Council on Foreign Relations (May 28, 2021): Will Peru’s Polarized Election Bring More Instability?

Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald (May 26, 2021): Party of Peru’s leading presidential candidate is Marxist — and wants to nationalize everything

BBC News (May 25, 2021): Peru’s Shining Path kills 16, including children, ahead of polls

Ana Maria Cervantes and Matthew Bristow, Bloomberg (May 25, 2021): Slaughter of Peru Villagers Stirs Dark Memories, Roils Election

Mexico Legislative, Gubernatorial, and Local Elections: June 6, 2021

Mexico holds high-stakes midterm legislative elections, as well as gubernatorial elections in 15 of Mexico’s 31 states, and local elections, on June 6, 2021. In total, more than 21,000 offices are at stake – the biggest elections in Mexico’s history.

These elections will be a key test for left-wing populist firebrand Andrés Manuel López Obrador (frequently called AMLO) ahead of the 2024 presidential election. AMLO, who has been governing in an increasingly authoritarian manner, wants to transform Mexico by jettisoning the market economy. If he is to succeed, his MORENA party will need to win a super-majority in the legislature.

Meanwhile, political violence is on the rise, with at least 88 politicians killed and hundreds of candidates targeted. More

David Agren, The Guardian (May 31, 2021): ‘Huge incentives to kill’: Mexico crime groups target election candidates

Natalie Gallón and Matt Rivers, CNN (May 30, 2021): At least 88 politicians have been killed in Mexico since September

The Economist (May 29, 2021): Mexico’s false messiah: Voters should curb Mexico’s power-hungry president

Reuters (May 26, 2021): Mexican president seen holding on to lower house in election – poll

Saint Lucia Parliamentary Elections: July 5, 2021 (tentative)

Saint Lucia, Saint Lucia, a democracy with competitive elections and regular transfers of power, is constitutionally required to hold parliamentary elections by October 12, 2021. Traditionally, elections are held on the fifth anniversary of the previous elections, which in this case would have been June 6, 2021. However, the elections are delayed a bit due to concerns about COVID-19. July 5 has been proposed as the date, but it could change. More

MENAFN – Caribbean News Global (May 28, 2021): St Lucia adjusts COVID-19 protocols in anticipation of general elections early July

Haiti Parliamentary Elections: September 19, 2021 and Presidential Election: Due in November 2021 (delays possible)

Haiti plans to hold long-overdue legislative elections on September 19, 2021, and also has a presidential election due later this year. However, the country is currently in a political crisis related to allegations of fraud followed Haiti’s presidential 2015 election. The international community, including the United States government, has called on Haiti’s officials to set a date for elections and end the crisis.

Haiti plans to hold a constitutional referendum on June 27, although the United States has raised concerns that it would just cause more political turmoil while helping President Jovenel Moise consolidate power. The opposition has called for protests against the referendum, which it deems unconstitutional, and a boycott. More

Editorial Board, Miami Herald (May 29, 2021): Stop pushing for elections in Haiti, President Biden. They will only make things worse

Jacqueline Charles, Miami Herald (May 26, 2021): Can the OAS help break the political impasse in Haiti? A mission will soon visit

Nicaragua General Elections: November 7, 2021

Nicaragua holds general elections on November 7, 2021. President Daniel Ortega, who has been in power for 20 years, will seek another term, and under his rule, Nicaragua has become increasingly authoritarian, with rule of law and fundamental freedoms under assault.

Dánae Vílchez, Washington Post (May 31, 2021 – in Spanish): The hunt against opponents and journalists grows in Nicaragua. The international community must act.

Lisa Schlein, Voice of America (May 29, 2021): UN: Nicaraguan Election Law Undermines Election Fairness

Chase Harrison, AS/COA (May 26, 2021): Nicaragua’s Opposition Faces a Stacked Electoral Deck

David Agren, Crux Now (May 25, 2021): Nicaragua Catholic leaders decry increasing government repression

Chile Presidential and Legislative Elections: November 21, 2021

Chile holds presidential and legislative elections in November (with presidential primaries on July 4). These elections follow the May 2021 local elections, and importantly, elections to the Constitutional Assembly.

Incumbent president Sebastian Pinera, from the center-right Chile Vamos coalition, is not running for another term. He currently has low approval ratings, posing a challenge for his party’s candidate (who will be chosen in the July primary election). Moreover, the conservatives failed to secure even one third of the Constitutional Assembly. 

These elections are taking place in the context of a year of protests and riots, including violent looting, arson, and vandalism. Furthermore, an intense debate over the new constitution continues. More

Andrés Velasco, Project Syndicate (May 31, 2021): Chile’s Constitutional Revolution

The Economist (May 29, 2021): An electoral surprise in Chile may produce a left-wing constitution

Benedict Mander, Financial Times (May 25, 2021): Chile’s ‘social explosion’ lights a fuse under its constitution

Venezuela Regional and Local Elections: November 21, 2021

Venezuela has scheduled regional and local elections for November 21, 2021. In December 2020, Venezuela held legislative elections despite members of the opposition and international community calling for a delay in order to ensure credible, fair elections. Ultimately, most of the opposition boycotted.

The Economist (May 31, 2021): Venezuela’s strongman wants to improve relations with the United States: Nicolás Maduro might even go easier on the opposition in exchange

Naky Soto, Caracas Chronicles (May 26, 2021): 40 Political Parties With A Common Goal: Free Elections

Aritz Parra, AP (May 25, 2021): Venezuela asks Spain to extradite leading opposition figure

Colombia Presidential and Legislative Elections: Spring 2022 (due)

Colombia is due to hold presidential and legislative elections in spring 2022. Conservative Ivan Duque, elected president in 2018, is constitutionally barred from running for re-election. One of the frontrunners to replace him is former left-wing guerilla Gustavo Petro, who placed second in 2018. The country has been rocked by riots in recent weeks. The proximate cause was a tax bill, but the protests have grown – and grown violent – and dozens have died. 

AFP (May 29, 2021): Colombia’s Duque Says He’s Deploying Military to Protest-hit Cali

Dave Lawler, Axios (May 27, 2021): Colombia’s protests rumble on into their second month

Brazil Presidential and Legislative Elections: October 2, 2022

Brazil holds general elections in October 2022. Jair Bolsonaro, the right-wing populist firebrand president, is up for re-election. Former president Lula da Silva, himself a populist firebrand of the left-wing variety, will run against him. The country remains deeply polarized between right and left, although some are searching for a third candidate to challenge both Bolsonaro and Lula. More

Al Jazeera (May 29, 2021): Brazil protesters denounce Bolsonaro over COVID crisis

Alex Hochuli, The Brazilian Report (May 28, 2021): Anti-Bolsonaro struggle reshapes political arrangements for 2022 Brazil

GZERO (May 26, 2021 – video): Can ‘Lula,’ the hero of Brazil’s left, unseat Bolsonaro?

Canada Parliamentary Elections: By October 16, 2023 (snap elections possible)

Canada is not due to hold federal elections until 2023, but snap elections could happen if the opposition manages to oust PM Justin Trudeau’s Liberal minority government in a vote of no confidence. Meanwhile, a number of provinces are holding elections this year.

Janet E Silver, iPolitiics (May 25, 2021): All parties support motion against holding a pandemic election

Past Americas Elections

Ecuador Presidential Runoff: April 11, 2021

Ecuador held a presidential runoff on April 11, 2021. Conservative Guillermo Lasso, who edged out indigenous activist Yaku Pérez for a spot in the runoff, surprised many by decisively defeating left-wing economist Andrés Arauz, a protege of former president Rafael Correa (himself barred from running after being convicted of corruption). More

Global Americans (April 28, 2021): Guillermo Lasso inaugurated as President of Ecuador

El Salvador Legislative and Local Elections: February 28, 2021

El Salvador held legislative and local elections on February 28, 2021. Allies of populist president Nayib Bukele won in a landslide, allowing him to consolidate his hold on the country with a legislative majority. Critics note growing authoritarianism. More

BNAmericas (May 26, 2021): Will cutting aid stop Bukele?

Regional Analysis

Alvaro Marañon, Lawfare (May 28, 2021): How Have Information Operations Affected the Integrity of Democratic Elections in Latin America?

Americas Elections Coming Up in 2021 and 2022

Mexico Midterm Legislative Elections and Some Gubernatorial Elections: June 6, 2021

Peru Presidential Runoff: June 6, 2021

Aruba Parliamentary Elections: June 25, 2021

Haiti Constitutional Referendum: June 27, 2021

Saint Lucia Parliamentary Elections: July 5, 2021 (tentative)

Haiti Presidential and Legislative Elections: September 19, 2021

Paraguay Municipal Elections: October 10, 2021

Argentina Midterm Legislative Elections: October 24, 2021 (could be delayed to November 14, 2021)

Nicaragua Presidential and Legislative Elections: November 7, 2021

Chile Presidential and Legislative Elections: November 21, 2021

Venezuela Regional and Local Elections: November 21, 2021

Honduras Presidential and Legislative Elections: November 28, 2021

Guyana Local Elections: Due in 2021

Costa Rica Presidential and Legislative Elections: February 6, 2022

Colombia Legislative Elections: March 13, 2022

Colombia Presidential Election: May 29, 2022

Bahamas Parliamentary Elections: May 2022 (due – snap elections possible)

Brazil Presidential and Legislative Elections: October 2, 2022

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.

Asia This Week: May 28, 2021

Asia and Pacific election news for the week of May 28 2021

May 28, 2021

Your weekly roundup of news and analysis of elections in Asia and the Pacific, usually posted on Fridays and occasionally updated throughout the week. For a full electoral calendar and interactive map, click here.

The city of Khovd, Mongolia. Mongolia holds a presidential election on June 9. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Nahcamuk (CC BY-SA 3.0)

Upcoming Asia/Pacific Elections

Mongolia Presidential Election: June 9, 2021

Mongolia, a free though imperfect democracy, has scheduled its presidential election for June 9, 2021, following parliamentary elections in June 2020 and local elections in October 2020. The country is stable, and economic growth continues, largely driven by mining. However, concerns have recently been raised about freedom and democracy. More

Japan General Elections: On or Before October 22, 2021

Japan is due to hold general elections by October 22, 2021, but they could happen earlier. In addition, Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga, who replaced Shinzo Abe last year, faces a leadership contest in his conservative Liberal Democratic Party ahead of the general elections.

Sheila A. Smith, Council on Foreign Relations (May 27, 2021): Japan’s Difficult Summer

The Japan Times (May 24, 2021): LDP heavyweights unite to keep key Suga backer in check

Nepal Snap Parliamentary Elections: November 12 and 19, 2021

Nepal will hold snap elections in November 2021, following a protracted political crisis. For background: in December 2020, Nepal’s prime minister decided to dissolve parliament and call for new elections. However, on February 23, the Supreme Court overturned the decision, cancelling the snap elections. The government subsequently lost a confidence vote, sparking snap polls. More

Arun Budhathoki, The Diplomat (May 26, 2021): Nepal’s President Announces Fresh Elections Amid Continuing Political Upheaval

Roshan Sedhai and Zaheena Rasheed, Al Jazeera (May 26, 2021): Nepal plunges into crisis – again. Here’s what you need to know

Hong Kong Legislative Elections: December 19, 2021

Hong Kong plans to hold elections to the Legislative Council on December 19, 2021, after more than a year’s delay. These elections are taking place in the context of Beijing’s determination to gut Hong Kong’s democracy. More

Reuters (May 29, 2021): Organizers lose appeal to hold Tiananmen vigil in Hong Kong

Primrose Riordan, Nicolle Liu, and Robert Wright, Financial Times (May 29, 2021): The Hong Kong dilemma: ‘Either you shut up or you leave’

Reuters (May 27, 2021): Hong Kong passes sweeping pro-China election rules, reduces public’s voting power

Philippines Presidential Election: May 9, 2022

In 2016, populist firebrand Rodrigo Duterte won the presidency, claiming to be an outsider. He has governed with an iron fist. Although he is banned from seeking a second term, critics fear that he will seek to consolidate illiberalism in the form of a handpicked successor. Meanwhile, a broad coalition of opposition figures have formed 1Sambayan (One Nation) in the hopes of defeating Duterte’s allies with a united front.

Michael Beltran, Channel News Asia (May 29, 2021): Commentary: Is Duterte as tough a guy as he wants us to believe?

The Economist (May 29, 2021): The Philippines is repairing its relationship with America

Abigail Ng, CBNC (May 28, 2021): The Philippines has dramatically boosted South China Sea patrols, data shows

Ralph Jennings, Voice of America (May 28, 2021): Relations Between China, Philippines Seen Smoothing After Upbeat Talks

Reuters (May 27, 2021): Philippines’ Duterte to let God decide his political future

Mara Cepada, Rappler (May 25, 2021): 1Sambayan to release nominees for 2022 polls on Independence Day

Bangsamoro Regional Parliament: May 22, 2022

Michael Hart, World Politics Review (May 28, 2021): The Southern Philippines’ Post-Conflict Transition Is on Track, but Behind Schedule

Cambodia Local Elections: June 5, 2022 and Parliamentary Elections: July 2023 (due)

Cambodia is due to hold local elections in 2022 and general elections in 2023. Although Cambodia has held elections in the past that had some element of competition, the 2018 election – neither free nor fair – signified the closing of Cambodia’s political space. They have been called “the death of democracy.”

The main pro-democracy opposition, Cambodian National Rescue Party (CNRP), was dissolved and banned from fielding candidates, and its leader, Sam Rainsy, was sent into exile, so its supporters boycotted the polls, resulting in the ruling Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) taking 58 out of 62 seats in parliament, and allowing Prime Minister Hun Sen to consolidate even more power while extending his three decades in power.

Sam Rainsy, The Diplomat (May 27, 2021): Is Cambodia’s Exclusive Dependence on China Inevitable?

Australia Parliamentary Elections: May 2022 (due – snap elections possible)

Australia’s federal parliamentary elections are due by 2022, but snap elections could happen. Meanwhile, several states hold elections in 2021.

Tensions with China are rising as Australia’s federal government has cancelled several Belt and Road deals. More

ABC News Australia (May 24, 2021 – video): Australian Labor Party ‘soul-searching’ after by-election loss

Malaysia Possible Snap Parliamentary Elections and Sarawak State Elections: To be called shortly after the COVID-19 state of emergency ends

Malaysia’s Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin has indicated that he will call early general elections once the COVID-19 pandemic is over. Meanwhile, several of Malaysia’s states are due to hold elections in the next year. Specifically, Sarawak is due to hold state elections this summer, or very shortly after the federal government lifts the COVID-19 state of emergency.

The country’s politics have been turbulent since the historic defeat of UMNO – which had ruled since 1957 – in the 2018 elections. UMNO is back in power but hanging on by a thread. More

Jerry Choong, Malay Mail (May 28, 2021): Khairy says Sarawak Covid-19 vaccination efforts to pre-empt infection risks from impending state election

Amy Chew, South China Morning Post (May 27, 2021): Umno, stalled juggernaut of Malaysian politics, faces leadership dilemma

Past Asia/Pacific Elections

Samoa (Election re-run that had been set for May 21 was cancelled)

Samoa held general elections on April 9, 2021, and the post-election situation has been rather eventful. A new opposition party, Fa’atuatua i le Atua Samoa ua Tasi (FAST, “Faith in the one true God”), posed a new challenge to the Human Rights Protection Party (HRPP), which has been in power since 1982. Ultimately, both FAST and HRPP got equal numbers of seats, with an independent MP breaking the tie and agreeing to support FAST. However, the plot continues to thicken as HRPP was given an additional female MP since the party did not meet its quota for women.

As a result of the deadlock, the prime minister has called new elections for May 21, but a court decided to block the new elections, reinstate the results, and overturn the decision to give HRPP an additional MP. As a result, FAST was declared the winner of the elections.

These elections are taking place in the context of controversy over proposed changes to the county’s constitutional framework and judiciary, involving questions of Samoan identity, as well as potential geopolitical shifts away from China. More

Julia Hollingsworth, CNN (May 29, 2021): The incredible rise of Samoa’s first female Prime Minister-elect, and the man still standing in her way

Natasha Frost, New York Times (May 24, 2021): She Was Supposed to Become Prime Minister but Was Locked Out of Parliament

Burma General Elections: November 8, 2020

Burma, also called Myanmar, held general elections on November 8, 2020. Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy (NLD) won in a landslide. However, on February 1, the military staged a coup, claiming election fraud (despite a lack of evidence). Protests against the coup continue. The military claims it will hold new elections will take place within two years. More

The Irrawaddy (May 27, 2021): Myanmar Military-Backed Party Official Assassinated

Radio Free Asia (May 27, 2021): Pro-Democracy Brother of Myanmar Junta’s Deputy Home Affairs Minister Dies in Military Custody

Hannah Beech, New York Times (May 25, 2021): Where Poets Are Being Killed and Jailed After a Military Coup

BBC News (May 24, 2021): Myanmar: Aung San Suu Kyi appears in court for first time since military coup

Asia/Pacific Elections Coming Up in 2021 and 2022

Mongolia Presidential Election: June 9, 2021

Macau Legislative Elections: September 12, 2021

Japan Parliamentary Elections: By October 2021 (snap elections possible)

Timor-Leste Municipal Elections: October 2021 (due)

Nepal Snap Parliamentary Elections: November 12 and 19, 2021

Tonga General Elections: By November 30, 2021

Hong Kong Legislative Council Elections: December 19, 2021

Sri Lanka Early Provincial Elections: Late 2021 (proposed)

India, State Elections in Goa, Manipur, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand: February/March 2022 (due)

South Korea Presidential Election: March 9, 2022

TImor-Leste Presidential Election: March 2022 (due)

Philippines Presidential and Legislative Elections: May 9, 2022

Australia Parliamentary Elections: May 2022 (due – snap elections possible)

Papua New Guinea Parliamentary Elections: June 2022 (due)

Cambodia Local Elections: June 5, 2022

Nauru Parliamentary Elections: August 2022 (due)

India, State Elections in Himachal Pradesh: October 2022 (due)

Fiji Parliamentary Elections: November 2022 (due)

India, State Elections in Gujarat: December 2022 (due)

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.

Eurasia This Week: May 27, 2021

Eurasia Elections News This Week: May 27, 2021

May 27, 2021

Your weekly roundup of news and analysis of elections in Eurasia, usually posted on Thursdays and occasionally updated throughout the week. For a full electoral calendar and interactive map, click here.

The city of Bukhara, formerly a Silk Road oasis and center of culture and currently in Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan holds a presidential election in October which will likely be neither free nor fair. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Adam Harangozó (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Upcoming Eurasia Elections

Armenia Snap Parliamentary Elections: June 20, 2021

Armenia is holding snap parliamentary elections on June 20 in an effort to defuse a political crisis following a defeat in the recent Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

Ani Mejlumyan, Eurasianet (May 27, 2021): Party lists for Armenian elections offer some surprises

Siranush Ghazanchyan, Public Radio of Armenia (May 26, 2021): 23 parties, 4 blocs bid for participation in snap parliamentary elections

Sara Khojoyan, Bloomberg (May 21, 2021): Armenia Premier Touts Azeri Border-Mapping Pact Amid Tensions

Moldova Snap Parliamentary Elections: July 11, 2021

Moldova is holding snap parliamentary elections on July 11, which pro-Europe center-right president Maia Sandu had been trying to call for months. Sandu trounced pro-Kremlin leftist Igor Dodon, who had been the incumbent, in the November 2020 presidential election However, no party currently has a clear majority in parliament (and Sandu’s allies are outnumbered by pro-Russian parties). The resulting political instability was reaching crisis levels. More

Madalin Necsutu, Balkan Insight (May 25, 2021): Moldova Encourages Diaspora to Vote in Parliamentary Polls

Russia Parliamentary Elections: By September 19, 2021

Russia is due to hold parliamentary elections by September 19, 2021. Russian elections are neither free nor fair. Nonetheless, the opposition has been making some gains in recent regional elections, helped by opposition leader Alexei Navalny’s “Smart Vote,” a campaign of tactical voting, in which they developed a list of candidates the best chance of beating Vladimir Putin’s United Russia. Consequently, the Kremlin has launched a brutal crackdown on the opposition, including imprisoning Navalny. More

Moscow Times (May 27, 2021): ‘Undesirable’ Open Russia Opposition Group Disbands Ahead of Elections

Meduza (May 26, 2021): Russian lawmakers adopt legislation banning people linked to ‘extremist organizations’ from running in elections

Reuters (May 26, 2021): Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny sues prison for censoring his newspapers

RFE/RL (May 25, 2021): Russian Lawmakers Take Step Toward Ban Of Navalny Supporters From All Elected Posts

Ann M. Simmons, Wall Street Journal (May 23, 2021): Russia’s Navalny Fights to Stay in Public Eye in Putin Standoff

Uzbekistan Presidential Election: October 24, 2021

Uzbekistan is holding a presidential election on October 24, 2021. Elections in Uzbekistan are neither free nor fair, and political opposition is not able to operate freely in the country. More

Navbahor Imamova, Voice of America (May 26, 2021): Uzbekistan Reform Pace Questioned as Presidential Election Approaches

Catherine Putz, The Diplomat (May 20, 2021): Uzbek Authorities Deny Registration to New Political Party With Presidential Ambitions

Past Eurasia Elections

Turkmenistan Parliamentary Elections: March 28, 2021

Turkmenistan held parliamentary elections on March 28, 2021. Turkmenistan is a highly repressive state that has never held free or fair elections, and lacks a genuine political oppositionMore

RFE/RL (May 27, 2021): Turkmenistan Urged To Stop Threatening, Harassing Families Of Exiled Journalists

Kazakhstan Legislative Elections: January 10, 2021

Kazakhstan held legislative elections for January 10, 2021. The country’s elections take place in the context of an authoritarian system in which critics of the government face harassment and arrest. As such, no genuine opposition has representation in the legislature. More

EU Reporter (May 25, 2021): Kazakhstan passes new election participation law

Belarus Presidential Election: August 9, 2020

Belarus held a presidential election on August 9, 2020. In a vote widely deemed not free and not fair, incumbent Alexander Lukashenko declared victory. However, the opposition declared that Svetlana Tikhanovskaya had in fact won. Hundreds of thousands of Belarusians have taken to the streets in protest to demand free and fair elections, even in the face of assault and arrest by security forces. Protests continue. More

RFE/RL (May 26, 2021): Belarus Opposition Says It’s Preparing New Stage Of Protests Against Lukashenka

Simon Foy, The Telegraph (May 26, 2021): Stock exchange helped Belarus raise $1.25bn weeks before ‘rigged’ election

Reuters (May 25, 2021): Macron wants Belarus opposition to join G7 summit, but host UK says no such plan

Silvia Amaro, CNBC (May 25, 2021): The EU sanctions Belarus after ‘state terrorism’ — but experts aren’t convinced they’ll work

Eurasia Elections in 2021 and 2022

Armenia Snap Parliamentary Elections: June 20, 2021

Moldova Snap Parliamentary Elections: July 11, 2021

Russia Parliamentary Elections: By September 19, 2021

Georgia Local Elections: October 2021 (due)

Kyrgyzstan Parliamentary Elections Take 2: Fall 2021 (expected)

Uzbekistan Presidential Election: October 24, 2021

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.

Europe This Week: May 26, 2021

May 26, 2021

Your weekly roundup of news and analysis of elections in Europe, usually posted on Wednesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week. For a full electoral calendar and interactive map, click here.

The city of Hvar, Croatia. Croatia holds local election runoffs on May 30, following the May 16 first round. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Bernard Gagnon (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Upcoming Europe Elections

Cyprus Parliamentary Elections: May 30, 2021

Cyprus is due to hold parliamentary elections on May 23, 2021. The center-right DISY – currently in the majority – will face off against the center-left AKEL, the main opposition party (with a number of smaller parties also competing). Cyprus is a presidential system (the only full presidential system in the EU), so these elections will function as more of a test for the parties ahead of the 2023 presidential election. The current president is President Nicos Anastasiades (from DISY). This is all happening in the context of the ongoing Eastern Mediterranean crisisMore

in-cyprus (May 26, 2021): Vote battle intensifies as Election Day looms in Cyprus

Croatia Local Runoffs May 30, 2021

Croatia held local elections for on May 16, and will hold runoffs in some places on May 30, 2021. These elections got a bit of a shakeup when Milan Bandic, the mayor of Zagreb, died in February after a combined 20 years in office (according to some reports, he was the world’s longest-serving mayor). Although Bandic had a devoted following, he was also controversial, and embroiled in a number of scandals. A former communist, he joined the Social Democratic Party (SDP) when Croatia began holding multiparty elections in 1990, but later broke off to start his own party.

Zeljko Trkanjec, Euractiv (May 26, 2021): Croatia’s governing party HDZ has backing of voters, survey reveals

Latvia Municipal Elections: June 5, 2021

Latvia has scheduled municipal elections for June 5, 2021. After that, parliamentary elections are due in October 2022. More

Linus Folke Jensen, LSM (May 25, 2021): Young political candidates step forward for Latvia’s local elections

DW (May 24, 2021): Belarus and Latvia expel diplomats in ice hockey flag furor

Germany Saxony-Anhalt State Elections: June 5, 2021, and Bundestag Elections: September 26, 2021 (plus other state elections throughout the year)

Germany is due to hold several sets of elections next year, culminating in the September 26, 2021 federal parliamentary elections that will determine who succeeds Angela Merkel as chancellor. Additionally, five states hold elections.  The year 2021 is thus a “Superwahljahr” (Super election year) in Germany. 

Following an intense fight, CDU and CSU have nominated CDU leader Armin Laschet to be their candidate for chancellor. He defeated the Bavarian Markus Söder, who is more popular with voters. Meanwhile, over the past year, the Greens have taken SPD’s place as the main center-left party. They have portrayed themselves as responsible and mainstream, and have governed as such when in state governments. Consequently, Annalena Baerbock could become the first Green head of government in the history of the world. However, despite his unpopularity, Armin Laschet remains the favorite to succeed Merkel as chancellor. Nonetheless, German voters have a real choice and Baerbock, who comes from the party’s “realo” (moderate) wing as opposed to the “fundi” (radical) wing – has an actual shot at the top job.  More

Marcel Fürstenau, DW (May 26, 2021): German politicians keep coalition options open ahead of election

AFP (May 25, 2021): Germany’s far-right AfD chooses hardline team ahead of national elections

Holly Ellyatt, CNBC (May 21, 2021): German industry could see winners and losers as Berlin plots a new political path, ex-Siemens boss says

France Regional Elections: June 13, 2021 and Presidential Election: April 2022 (due) 

France holds regional elections on June 13, 2021, with a second round on June 20. These come ahead of next year’s presidential and legislative elections, where President Emmanuel Macron potentially faces a formidable challenge from the far-right. More

Elisa Braun, Pauline de Saint Remy, and Clea Caulcutt, Politico (May 26, 2021): French minister’s relationship with staffer casts shadow over election run

Finland Local Elections: June 13, 2021 (postponed from April)

Finland is holding municipal elections on June 13, 2021, delayed from April due to COVID-19. Following the 2019 parliamentary elections, a left-leaning coalition came into government nationally. More

YLE (May 26, 2021): Finland starts casting early votes, sometimes drive-in style

TheMayor.eu (May 20, 2021): Finland launches campaign to prevent disinformation ahead of elections

Bulgaria Snap Parliamentary Elections: July 11, 2021

Bulgaria is holding fresh parliamentary elections on July 11 after no party formed a government following the April 4 elections. In those polls, PM Boyko Borissov’s center-right GERB won the most seats, but lost ground and failed to win a majority. New parties running against the establishment did surprisingly well – in fact,  a party called There Is Such a People, led by TV star Stanislav Trifonov, came in second and ruled out forming a coalition with GERB. Trifonov’s main platform was anti-corruption – indeed, corruption was the biggest issue in the election. More

Teodora Trifonova, Axios (May 25, 2021): Watergate-style scandal rocks Bulgaria ahead of election

RFE/RL (May 21, 2021): Bulgaria Says It Remains Opposed To EU Accession Talks For North Macedonia

Svetoslav Todorov, Balkan Insight (May 21, 2021): Bulgaria’s Caretaker Interior Minister Backs Opposition’s Eavesdropping Claims

Sofia Globe (May 20, 2021): Ultra-nationalists, populists form ‘Bulgarian Patriots’ alliance for July elections

Jamie Dettmer, Voice of America (May 20, 2021): Bulgaria’s Former Leader Battles Corruption Claims as Caretaker Government Starts Clean-Up

Czech Republic Parliamentary Elections: October 8-9, 2021

The Czech Republic has scheduled parliamentary elections for October 8-9, 2021. The current prime minister, controversial billionaire Andrej Babiš, came to power following the 2017 parliamentary elections. His populist ANO party won a plurality, but not majority, of seats, and he has had a turbulent tenure in office. More

Aneta Zachová, Euractiv (May 24, 2021): Czech President bars unfriendly media from receiving information

Slovenia Parliamentary Elections: By June 5, 2022 – snap elections possible

Slovenia is due to hold elections in June 2022, but snap elections are possible. The current government is a conservative minority coalition headed by populist Janez Janša. It came to power in January 2020 after the center-left minority government of Marjan Šarec collapsed.

Valentina Dimitrievska, bne Intellinews (May 27, 2021): Slovenia’s PM Jansa survives impeachment motion

Valerie Hopkins, Financial Times (May 23, 2021): Slovenia’s Jansa follows Hungary down authoritarian path: Prime minister turns on judges and media ahead of country assuming EU presidency

Hungary Parliamentary Elections: By Spring 2022 (or earlier)

Hungary is due to hold parliamentary elections by Spring 2022, although snap elections are possible. Prime Minster Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party has become increasingly authoritarian, to the concern of many both in Hungary and in the international community.

Hungary Today (May 25, 2021): Press Roundup: Opposition Discusses Chances of Electoral Victory

George Parker, Ben Hall, and Jim Brunsden, Financial Times (May 25, 2021): Johnson to welcome Orban to Downing Street

Past Europe Elections

Spain, Catalonia Regional Elections: February 14, 2021

Catalonia held regional elections on February 14, 2021. Pro-independence parties won a majority of the seats and have recently formed a government.

In addition, Madrid held early regional elections on May 4, following the collapse of the government coalition consisting of the conservative Popular Party and the liberal Citizens Party. These elections took place in a highly polarized environment, as conservative incumbent Isabel Díaz Ayuso from the Popular Party defeated leftist firebrand Pablo Inglesias.

Daniel Dombey, Financial Times (May 26, 2021): Spain’s top court warns against pardoning jailed Catalan leaders: Supreme court opinion comes as Sánchez government signals possible move

Euronews/AP (May 21, 2021): Catalonia’s new president Pere Aragonés will ask Madrid for a referendum on independence

AFP (May 21, 2021): New Catalan leader vows to keep up independence fight

Albania Parliamentary Elections: April 25, 2021

Albania held parliamentary elections on April 25, 2021 in a tense political climate with several violent incidents. Since communism collapsed in 1990, Albania has held competitive elections and several transitions of power between political parties. The elections were close, and the incumbent Socialist Party won a third term in office, defeating the main opposition center-right Democratic Party. More

Altin Gjeta, Balkan Insight (May 21, 2021): Albania Remains Hostage to Its Communist Past

Keida Kostreci, Voice of America (May 21, 2021): US Sanction of Former Albanian PM Sends Message but Raises Questions

Europe Elections in 2021 and 2022

Croatia Local Elections: May 16, 2021

Cyprus Parliamentary Elections: May 30, 2021

Latvia Local Elections: June 5, 2021

Germany, Saxony-Anhalt State Elections: June 6, 2021

Finland Municipal Elections: June 13, 2021

France Regional Elections: June 13, 2021

Bulgaria Fresh Parliamentary Elections: July 11, 2021

Norway Parliamentary Elections: September 13, 2021

Iceland Parliamentary Elections: September 25, 2021

Germany Bundestag Elections, plus state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and probably Thuringia: September 26, 2021

Austria, Upper Austria State and Municipal Elections: September 26, 2021

Czech Republic Parliamentary Elections: October 8-9, 2021

Italy Municipal Elections, plus regional elections in Calabria: October 10-11, 2021

Estonia Local Elections: October 17, 2021

North Macedonia Local Elections: October 2021 (due)

Portugal Local Elections: October 2021 (due)

Bulgaria Presidential Election: October/November 2021 (due)

Denmark Regional and Municipal Elections: November 16, 2021

Kosovo Local Elections: Due in 2021

Serbia Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: March/April 2022

France Presidential Election: April 2022 (due)

Austria Presidential Election: April 2022 (due)

Hungary Parliamentary Elections: April 2022 (due)

Slovenia Parliamentary Elections: By June 5, 2022

Malta Parliamentary Elections: June 2022 (due – snap elections possible)

Sweden Parliamentary Elections: September 11, 2022

Bosnia and Herzegovina Presidential and Legislative Elections: October 2022 (due)

Latvia Parliamentary Elections: October 2022 (due)

Slovenia Presidential Election: October/November 2022 (due)

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.

Middle East This Week: May 25, 2021

May 25, 2021

Your weekly roundup of news and analysis of elections in the greater Middle East and North Africa, usually posted on Tuesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week. For a full electoral calendar and interactive map, click here.

A street in Damascus. Syria holds a sham presidential election on May 26. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Mappo (CC BY-SA 4.0)

Upcoming Middle East Elections

Syria Presidential Election: May 26, 2021

Syria has scheduled its presidential election for May 26, 2021. The election comes in the context of Syria’s ongoing civil war and humanitarian crisis. Elections under the regime of Bashar al-Assad are widely considered to be a sham. More

Jennifer Holleis, DW (May 25, 2021): Syria’s sham election guarantees 1 thing — Bashar Assad will win

Dominic Evans and Hams Rabah, Reuters (May 25, 2021): As Assad tightens grip on Syria, many refugees lose hope

Hamada Elrasam, Voice of America (May 24, 2021): Syria Holds Presidential Elections that Many See as Symbolic

Algeria Snap Legislative Elections: June 12, 2021, followed by local elections later this year

Algeria will hold snap elections on June 12, 2021, following more than two years of protests by the Hirak movement. However, the government’s election plan has not actually satisfied the Hirak, who continue to take to the streets and have decided to boycott the elections. The absence of the Hirak, who are mostly secular, from the elections has paved the way for Islamist parties to become the main opposition.

Al Jazeera (May 22, 2021): Hundreds arrested as Algeria cracks down on protest movement

Africanews (May 21, 2021): Algeria legislative elections: Campaigns begin

Lamine Chikhi, Reuters (May 19, 2021): Algerian protesters face crunch point as police prepare crackdown

Iran Presidential and Local Elections: June 18, 2021

Iran has scheduled its next presidential election for June 18, 2021, with concurrent local elections. While Iran is far from a free country, and the elections are largely rigged, voters do have a degree of choice. More

AP (May 25, 2021): Iran, World Powers Resume Talks on US Return to Nuclear Deal

Reuters (May 25, 2021): Iran approves hardliner for presidential polls, bars several hopefuls

Patrick Wintour, The Guardian (May 25, 2021): Iran’s leadership accused of fixing presidential election: Guardian Council’s bar on reformist candidates has left narrow field of hardliners for June poll

AP (May 25, 2021): Iran state TV: 7 approved for June 18 presidential election

AFP (May 23, 2021): Iran’s polls set to split divided conservatives in two

Golnaz Esfandiari, RFE/RL (May 22, 2021): Disgruntled Iranians Say ‘No Way,’ Call For Boycott Of June Presidential Election

Al-Monitor (May 19, 2021): Raisi, Larijani likely top candidates for Iran’s presidential election

Iraq Early Parliamentary Elections: October 10, 2021 (tentative) and Provincial Elections (due)

Iraq’s government had proposed holding snap parliamentary elections on June 6, 2021, one year early, following the demands of protesters. However, the tentative date has been pushed to October. Iraq is also due to hold provincial (sometimes called governorate) elections. Preparations are taking place in the context of widespread protest and political instability. More

Samya Kullab, AP (May 25, 2021): 1 killed as protesters scuffle with Iraqi security forces

AFP (May 24, 2021): Killings in Iraq spark calls for election boycott

Layal Shakir, Rudaw (May 22, 2021): Iraqi election candidate assassinated: party leader

Qatar Shura Council Elections: October 2021 (announced – date not set)

Qatar has announced that it will hold its first-ever parliamentary elections in October 2021. More

Al Jazeera (May 20, 2021): Qatar cabinet approves draft law on Shura Council elections

Libya Parliamentary and Presidential Elections: December 24, 2021 (tentative)

Libya’s national elections are overdue and have been postponed indefinitely due to the political crisis and civil war. However, in November 2020, Libyan stakeholders participating in UN-sponsored talks proposed December 24, 2021 for presidential and parliamentary elections. More

Dorian Jones, Voice of America (May 25, 2021): Turkey Under Fire Over Military Presence in Libya

Dave Lawler, Axios (May 24, 2021): Libya’s fragile moment of unity

Sami Zaptia, Libya Herald (May 22, 2021): Libya is 70 percent ready to hold 24 December elections, with the 30 percent legal measures still outstanding: Election Commission

UN News (May 21, 2021): Libya: Ceasefire, planned elections, offer rare window of hope, Security Council hears

Lebanon Parliamentary Elections: May 2022 (due

Lebanon is due to hold general elections in May 2022, although some parties have called for early elections. Lebanon has been in a political crisis and without a government since the port explosion in Beirut, in which 215 people died, 7,500 were injured, and 300,000 were left homeless. Moreover, the country is in an economic crisis.

Kareem Chehayeb, Al Jazeera (May 24, 2021): ‘Little hope left’: Lebanon’s paralysis and a collapsing state

Najia Houssari, Arab News (May 24, 2021): Lebanese parties reject the return to ‘militia behavior’ amid anger over pro-Assad rallies

Turkey General Elections: By June 25, 2023 (snap elections possible)

Although Turkey is not due for general elections until 2023, there have been rumors of possible snap elections.

Burhanetin Duran, Daily Sabah (May 25, 2021): Critical centennial elections in Turkey

Palestinian Authority Presidential and Legislative Elections: Long overdue, postponed indefinitely

The Palestinian Authority has postponed its long overdue elections for the legislature and president, which had been scheduled for May 22 and July 31, respectively. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is currently in year 16 of a four-year term. Similarly, the last Legislative Council elections took place in 2006. 

Since the announcement of the delay, the conflict between Hamas and Israel reignited. Following 11 days of fighting, the parties reached a ceasefire on May 20. More

Michelle Kelemen, NPR (May 25, 2021): Blinken Has Promised More Aid For Palestinians, Continued Support For Israel

Elliott Abrams, Council on Foreign Relations (May 24, 2021): Palestinian Politics After the Gaza Conflict

Mariah Franklin, Foreign Brief (May 22, 2021): First Palestinian elections in 15 years to be postponed

Emad Mouss, The New Arab (May 20, 2021): Why cancelled elections cast a long shadow over Palestinian political revival

Eli Lake, Bloomberg (May 19, 2021): A Cease-Fire Is Not Enough When It Comes to Hamas: The U.S. and its allies need to help Palestinians improve their elections and civil society.

Past Middle East Elections

Israel Parliamentary Elections, Take 4: March 23, 2021

On March 23, 2021, Israel held its fourth general election in two years after the collapse of the unity government of Benjamin Netanyahu and Benny Gantz. Neither Netanyahu’s allies nor his opponents won a majority, so if anyone wants to form a government, they will need to get creative. Netanyahu, whose conservative Likud party won the most seats, had the first chance to form a coalition, but he failed.

Yair Lapid from the centrist Yesh Atid is currently trying to form a coalition, but a fifth election remains a possibility. More

Michael Hauser Tov and Noa Shpigel, Haaretz (May 24, 2021): Israel Election: Sa’ar Rules Out Joining Netanyahu-led Government After Reports of Negotiations

Idan Zonshine, Jerusalem Post (May 23, 2021): Lapid, Gantz rising in first election polls after Gaza conflict

James Rothwell, The Telegraph (May 22, 2021): Israel’s prime minister heading for fifth election after Gaza conflict saves political career

Danielle Pletka, The Dispatch (May 21, 2021): Why Israel Might Be Headed Toward Yet Another Parliamentary Election

Josef Federman, AP (May 20, 2021): Netanyahu’s prospects bolstered amid Israel-Hamas fighting

Kuwait Parliamentary Elections: December 5, 2020

Kuwait held parliamentary elections on December 5, 2020. As could be expected, COVID-19 and the government’s response shaped public debate ahead of the elections. Meanwhile, populism is on the rise, exacerbated by the pandemic and falling oil prices. More

Reuters (May 25, 2021): Kuwait opposition MPs take ministers’ seats in parliament protest

Middle East Elections in 2021 and 2022

Syria Presidential Election: May 26, 2021

Algeria Snap Parliamentary Elections: June 10, 2021

Iran Presidential and Local Elections: June 18, 2021

Pakistan, Azad Jammu and Kashmir Elections: June/July 2021 (proposed – date not set yet)

Jordan Local and Gubernatorial Elections: August 2021 (due)

Morocco Elections: September 8, 2021

Iraq Parliamentary Elections: October 10, 2021

Qatar Shura Council Elections: October 2021 (proposed)

Libya Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: December 24, 2021

Lebanon Parliamentary Elections: May 2022 (due)

Bahrain Parliamentary Elections: Due in November 2022

Egypt Local Elections: Due and discussed, but not scheduled

Oman Municipal Elections: Due, but postponed due to COVID-19

Palestinian Authority Presidential and Legislative Elections: Long overdue, postponed yet again, no date set

21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content, and their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.