August 1, 2023
A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in the greater Middle East and North Africa, usually posted on Tuesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.
The Pakistan Monument in Islamabad, which is meant to symbolize the unity of Pakistani people who come from various ethnic and linguistic backgrounds. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Yaarahmadd (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Ongoing Middle East Elections
Lebanon Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): Continuing
Lebanon’s fractious parliament is in the process of selecting a president. As part of Lebanon’s sectarian power-sharing system, the president is always a Maronite Christian (and conversely, a Sunni serves as prime minister and a Shi’ite as speaker of the parliament).
The last parliamentary elections took place in May 2022 in the context of a political and economic crisis exacerbated by the August 2020 explosion in the port of Beirut. In those elections, Hezbollah and its allies lost their majority in parliament, and a number of independents won seats.
The fragmented parliament has not been able to pick a new president, leaving a vacuum following the end of Michel Aoun’s term in October 2022.
Maya Gebeily at Reuters notes: “The leadership crisis reflects divisions among the ruling elite that has been unable to install a president or fully empowered cabinet for over a year, while leaving the financial crisis to fester, largely unaddressed, since 2019.”
Maya Gebeily, Reuters (July 28, 2023): Lebanon’s central bank faces uncertainty without appointment of new governor
Upcoming Middle East Elections
Pakistan General Elections: By November 10, 2023 (early elections possible)
Pakistan is due to hold elections later this year amid political turmoil and multiple crises. Shweta Sharma at The Independent says: “Analysts say there are hopes that the election can bring an end to a period of deep political uncertainty since [former PM Imran] Khan was ousted in a vote of no confidence, as well as install a government with the mandate to tackle one of South Asia’s worst economic crises, exacerbated by last year’s devastating floods.”
Shweta Sharma, The Independent (August 1, 2023): Fears of more political violence as Pakistan prepares for elections – with or without Imran Khan
AP (July 31, 2023): Pakistan buries dead after 54 killed in a bombing at pro-Taliban cleric’s election rally
Anwarullah Khan and Riaz Khan at the AP note: “The bombing came hours before Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng arrived in Islamabad, where he signed new agreements to boost trade and economic ties to mark a decade of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a sprawling package under which China has invested $10 billion in Pakistan over 10 years, according to Sharif.”
AP (July 31, 2023): IS Behind Pro-Taliban Election Rally Bombing in Pakistan
Adnan Aamir, Nikkei Asia (July 26, 2023): Imran Khan tells Pakistan’s military to stay out of politics as election nears
Iraq Regional Elections: December 18, 2023
Sinan Mahmoud at The National notes: “After the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein’s regime, parliamentary and provincial council elections were introduced as the main pillar for democracy. Provincial councils play a vital role as the sub-national legislative authority, as well as devising localized development plans.”
Sinan Mahmoud, The National UAE (July 30, 2023): Iraq’s electoral commission extends party registration deadline for provincial polls
Palestinian Authority General Elections: Long Overdue
Palestinian Authority elections are long overdue. President Mahmoud Abbas is currently in year 18 of a four-year term. Elections were finally scheduled in 2021, but canceled at the last minute.
In 2007, Hamas gained control of Gaza, leading to a rift between it and the Palestinian Authority, headquartered in the West Bank and led by Abbas’s Fatah party.
Neville Teller, Jerusalem Post (August 1, 2023): Is unity between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority possible?
Qassam Muaddi, The New Arab (July 31, 2023): Why breaking the deadlock in Palestinian politics remains elusive
Al Jazeera (July 30, 2023): Palestinian rival governments form ‘reconciliation committee’: In latest attempt at reconciliation, Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh have met for rare face-to-face talks in Egypt.
Past Middle East Elections
Turkey General Elections: May 14, 2023
Kristina Jovanovski, The Media Line (July 30, 2023): Turkey’s constitutional conundrum: Erdogan’s ‘libertarian’ pledge raises alarm bells: The Turkish president’s desire to replace the post-coup constitution fuels concerns about autocracy and civil liberties
Martin Makaryan, Inkstick Media (July 28, 2023): Turkey’s Young People Wonder What’s Next As Erdoğan Starts Another Term
Regional Analysis
Joost Hiltermann, Foreign Affairs (August 1, 2023): Is the Middle East’s Makeover a Mirage?
Middle East Elections Coming Up in 2023
Lebanon Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): ongoing
United Arab Emirates Federal National Council Elections (indirect elections, advisory body with limited powers): October 7, 2023
Israel Local Elections: October 31, 2023
Pakistan General Elections: By November 10, 2023 (early elections possible)
Oman Consultative Assembly Elections (advisory body with limited power): October 2023 (due)
Iraq Regional Elections: December 18, 2023
Kurdistan (Iraq) Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: November 18, 2023 (delays possible)
21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.
November 2023 Election Outlook
Last Updated: January 2, 2024 by 21votes Leave a Comment
Moldova Local Elections: November 5, 2023
United States, Gubernatorial Elections in Kentucky and Mississippi, plus State Legislature Elections Virginia, Mississippi, and New Jersey, plus various local elections
India, State Elections in Mizoram and Chhattisgarh: November 7, 2023 (elections begin on November 7 and continue in stages)
Nigeria, Gubernatorial Elections in Bayelsa, Imo, and Kogi States: November 11, 2023
Liberia Presidenital Runoff: November 14, 2023
Canada, Territorial Elections in Northwest Territories: November 14, 2023
Madagascar Presidential Election: November 16, 2023
India, State Elections in Madhya Pradesh: November 17, 2023
Argentina Presidential Runoff: November 19, 2023
Switzerland Council of States (Upper House) Elections, First Round: November 19, 2023
Marshall Islands General Elections and Constitutional Referendum: November 20, 2023
Netherlands Snap Parliamentary Elections: November 22, 2023
India, State Elections in Rajasthan: November 25, 2023
Portugal Local Elections: November 26, 2023
India, State Elections in Telangana: November 30, 2023
A polling station in Argentina in 2019. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Frodar (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Europe This Week: August 2, 2023
Last Updated: January 3, 2024 by 21votes Leave a Comment
August 2, 2023
A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in Europe, usually posted on Wednesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.
The Alcalá Gate in Madrid, Spain. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Diego Delso (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Upcoming Europe Elections
Germany, Hesse and Bavaria State Elections: October 8, 2023 (next federal election by October 2025)
Ben Knight, DW (July 31, 2023): German intel: AfD taken over by extremist factions
Hans von der Burchard, Politico (July 30, 2023): German far right picks EU lead candidate, wants European anti-migrant ‘fortress’
Reuters (July 29, 2023): Thousands protest against Germany’s far-right AfD party
DW (July 28, 2023 – video): Germany’s far-right AfD expected to make gains in Bavaria
Bulgaria Local Elections: October 29, 2023
Sofia Globe (July 29, 2023): Bulgaria to hold 2023 municipal and mayoral elections on October 29
Poland Parliamentary and Local Elections: November 11, 2023 (due – earlier elections possible)
DW (August 1, 2023): Poland’s far-right Confederation party set to be kingmaker
Wojciech Kośč, Politico (July 27, 2023): Outcry in Poland after claims that prosecutors drained cesspit in abortion probe: Reproductive rights dominate pre-election debate in Poland after reports of law enforcement targeting women for suspected abortions.
Finland Presidential Election: January 28, 2024
YLE News (July 28, 2023): Presidential election campaign period officially begins; Aaltola to announce decision next week
European Union, European Parliament Elections: June 6-9, 2024
Nicholas Vinocur and Suzanne Lynch, Politico (August 2, 2023): The Schemer: Macron’s man is plotting to run the EU
Eddy Wax, Politico (July 28, 2023): European Parliament set to grow by 15 MEPs in 2024: France, Spain and the Netherlands set to get two more seats each in next mandate.
North Macedonia General Elections: Due in 2024 (early elections possible)
Reuters (July 30, 2023): Ethnic Albanian party in North Macedonia offers deal to clear the way to join EU
Past Europe Elections
Spain General Elections: July 23, 2023
Joan Faus, Reuters (August 2, 2023): Catalan kingmaker tells Spain’s Sanchez not to take support for granted
David Cutts and Paul Kennedy, London School of Economics (July 31, 2023): Is Spain heading for another general election?
Barney Jopson, Financial Times (July 31, 2023): Madrid’s Isabel Díaz Ayuso boosted as leader-in-waiting by right’s election setback
Aitor Hernández-Morales, Politico (July 29, 2023): Spain election repeat more likely after expat vote count: Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s already narrow path to a new administration just became trickier.
Italy General Elections: September 25, 2023
James Rothwell, The Telegraph (July 30, 2023): Italy intends to leave ‘atrocious’ partnership with China
China’s Malign Influence
Shannon Thaler, New York Post (July 27, 2023): TikTok has been pushing Chinese propaganda to millions of users in Europe: analysis
Europe Elections Coming Up in 2023
Latvia Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): May 31, 2023
Norway Local Elections: September 11, 2023
Slovakia Snap Parliamentary Elections: September 30, 2023 (proposed – requires parliament to change constitution to allow)
Germany, Hesse and Bavaria State Elections: October 8, 2023
Luxembourg General Elections: October 8, 2023
Switzerland Federal Parliamentary Elections: October 22, 2023
Bulgaria Local Elections: October 29, 2023
Finland, Åland Elections: October 2023 (due)
Portugal, Regional Elections in Madeira: October 2023 (due)
Poland Parliamentary and Local Elections (due – earlier elections possible): November 11, 2023
Spain General Elections: December 10, 2023 (due – early elections possible)
Switzerland Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): December 12, 2023
Andorra Local Elections: December 2023 (due)
21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.
Middle East
Posted: August 1, 2023 by 21votes Leave a Comment
August 1, 2023
A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in the greater Middle East and North Africa, usually posted on Tuesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.
The Pakistan Monument in Islamabad, which is meant to symbolize the unity of Pakistani people who come from various ethnic and linguistic backgrounds. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Yaarahmadd (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Ongoing Middle East Elections
Lebanon Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): Continuing
Lebanon’s fractious parliament is in the process of selecting a president. As part of Lebanon’s sectarian power-sharing system, the president is always a Maronite Christian (and conversely, a Sunni serves as prime minister and a Shi’ite as speaker of the parliament).
The last parliamentary elections took place in May 2022 in the context of a political and economic crisis exacerbated by the August 2020 explosion in the port of Beirut. In those elections, Hezbollah and its allies lost their majority in parliament, and a number of independents won seats.
The fragmented parliament has not been able to pick a new president, leaving a vacuum following the end of Michel Aoun’s term in October 2022.
Maya Gebeily at Reuters notes: “The leadership crisis reflects divisions among the ruling elite that has been unable to install a president or fully empowered cabinet for over a year, while leaving the financial crisis to fester, largely unaddressed, since 2019.”
Maya Gebeily, Reuters (July 28, 2023): Lebanon’s central bank faces uncertainty without appointment of new governor
Upcoming Middle East Elections
Pakistan General Elections: By November 10, 2023 (early elections possible)
Pakistan is due to hold elections later this year amid political turmoil and multiple crises. Shweta Sharma at The Independent says: “Analysts say there are hopes that the election can bring an end to a period of deep political uncertainty since [former PM Imran] Khan was ousted in a vote of no confidence, as well as install a government with the mandate to tackle one of South Asia’s worst economic crises, exacerbated by last year’s devastating floods.”
Shweta Sharma, The Independent (August 1, 2023): Fears of more political violence as Pakistan prepares for elections – with or without Imran Khan
AP (July 31, 2023): Pakistan buries dead after 54 killed in a bombing at pro-Taliban cleric’s election rally
Anwarullah Khan and Riaz Khan at the AP note: “The bombing came hours before Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng arrived in Islamabad, where he signed new agreements to boost trade and economic ties to mark a decade of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a sprawling package under which China has invested $10 billion in Pakistan over 10 years, according to Sharif.”
AP (July 31, 2023): IS Behind Pro-Taliban Election Rally Bombing in Pakistan
Adnan Aamir, Nikkei Asia (July 26, 2023): Imran Khan tells Pakistan’s military to stay out of politics as election nears
Iraq Regional Elections: December 18, 2023
Sinan Mahmoud at The National notes: “After the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein’s regime, parliamentary and provincial council elections were introduced as the main pillar for democracy. Provincial councils play a vital role as the sub-national legislative authority, as well as devising localized development plans.”
Sinan Mahmoud, The National UAE (July 30, 2023): Iraq’s electoral commission extends party registration deadline for provincial polls
Palestinian Authority General Elections: Long Overdue
Palestinian Authority elections are long overdue. President Mahmoud Abbas is currently in year 18 of a four-year term. Elections were finally scheduled in 2021, but canceled at the last minute.
In 2007, Hamas gained control of Gaza, leading to a rift between it and the Palestinian Authority, headquartered in the West Bank and led by Abbas’s Fatah party.
Neville Teller, Jerusalem Post (August 1, 2023): Is unity between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority possible?
Qassam Muaddi, The New Arab (July 31, 2023): Why breaking the deadlock in Palestinian politics remains elusive
Al Jazeera (July 30, 2023): Palestinian rival governments form ‘reconciliation committee’: In latest attempt at reconciliation, Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh have met for rare face-to-face talks in Egypt.
Past Middle East Elections
Turkey General Elections: May 14, 2023
Kristina Jovanovski, The Media Line (July 30, 2023): Turkey’s constitutional conundrum: Erdogan’s ‘libertarian’ pledge raises alarm bells: The Turkish president’s desire to replace the post-coup constitution fuels concerns about autocracy and civil liberties
Martin Makaryan, Inkstick Media (July 28, 2023): Turkey’s Young People Wonder What’s Next As Erdoğan Starts Another Term
Regional Analysis
Joost Hiltermann, Foreign Affairs (August 1, 2023): Is the Middle East’s Makeover a Mirage?
Middle East Elections Coming Up in 2023
Lebanon Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): ongoing
United Arab Emirates Federal National Council Elections (indirect elections, advisory body with limited powers): October 7, 2023
Israel Local Elections: October 31, 2023
Pakistan General Elections: By November 10, 2023 (early elections possible)
Oman Consultative Assembly Elections (advisory body with limited power): October 2023 (due)
Iraq Regional Elections: December 18, 2023
Kurdistan (Iraq) Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: November 18, 2023 (delays possible)
21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.
August 2023 Election Outlook
Last Updated: November 6, 2023 by 21votes Leave a Comment
August 12, 2023
Malaysia, State Elections in 6 out of 13 States
August 13, 2023
Argentina Presidential Primaries and Provincial Elections in Santa Cruz
August 14, 2023
Trinidad and Tobago Local Elections
August 20, 2023
Ecuador Snap Presidential and Legislative Elections
Guatemala General Election Runoffs
August 23, 2023
Zimbabwe General Elections
August 26, 2023
Gabon Presidential Election
A polling station in Ecuador in 2013. Photo credit: Flickr/Cancillería del Ecuador (CC BY-SA 2.0)
Middle East This Week: July 18, 2023
Last Updated: August 1, 2023 by 21votes Leave a Comment
July 18, 2023
A weekly review of news and analysis of elections in the greater Middle East and North Africa, usually posted on Tuesdays and occasionally updated throughout the week.
The Saladin Citadel in Cairo, Egypt. Photo credit: Wikimedia/Ahmed L. Badawy (CC BY-SA 2.0)
Upcoming Middle East Elections
UAE Federal National Council Elections: October 7, 2023 (consultative body with little real power)
Waheed Abbas, Khaleej Times (July 17, 2023): UAE elections: All you need to know about FNC polls in 2023
Iraq Kurdistan Regional Elections: and Provincial Elections
Dana Taib Menmy, The New Arab (July 12, 2023): Scorching summer heat in Iraq sparks fears of low voter turnout for provincial elections
Pakistan General Elections: By November 10, 2023 (early elections possible)
Munir Ahmed, AP (July 17, 2023): Dozens of followers of Pakistan’s Imran Khan quit his party and launch their own ahead of elections
Ismail Dilawar and Kamran Haider, Bloomberg (July 13, 2023): Pakistan’s Coalition Government to Step Down Next Month
Egypt Presidential Election: April 2024
Al Jazeera (July 11, 2023): Egyptians launch online campaign for Gamal Mubarak as president
Palestinian Authority General Elections: Long Overdue
Shira Rubin, Washington Post (July 12, 2023): The Palestinian Authority, teetering on collapse, is tested in Jenin
Dov Waxman, The Conversation (July 14, 2023): The Conversation: Palestinian Authority faces legitimacy crisis
Lebanon Presidential Election: Ongoing
United States Department of State (July 17, 2023): Joint Statement on Lebanon
Past Middle East Elections
Turkey General Elections: May 14, 2023
Grady Wilson, Atlantic Council (July 14, 2023): With re-election behind him, Erdogan is turning toward the West
Karl Ritter and Andrew Wilks, AP (July 12, 2023): Turkey’s Erdogan says lawmakers will take up ratification of Sweden’s NATO membership in October
Middle East Elections Coming Up in 2023
Turkey and Pakistan are due to hold elections that determine who runs the government. In addition, long-overdue elections in the Palestinian Authority and Libya could take place in 2023, but don’t hold your breath.
Lebanon Indirect Presidential Election (by parliament): ongoing
United Arab Emirates Federal National Council Elections (indirect elections, advisory body with limited powers): October 7, 2023
Pakistan General Elections: October 12, 2023 (due – snap elections possible)
Israel Local Elections: October 2023 (due)
Oman Consultative Assembly Elections (advisory body with limited power): October 2023 (due)
Iraq Regional Elections: November 6, 2023
Kurdistan (Iraq) Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: November 18, 2023
21votes does not necessarily agree with all of the opinions expressed in the linked articles; rather, our goal is to curate a wide range of voices. Furthermore, none of the individuals or organizations referenced have reviewed 21votes’ content. That is to say, their inclusion should not be taken to imply that they endorse us in any way. More on our approach here.